Blaine Gabbert – Big Bored http://bigbored.com The Content Dropout Tue, 25 Oct 2016 18:34:45 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.7.3 Just How Bad is Blake Bortles? http://bigbored.com/just-how-bad-is-blake-bortles/ http://bigbored.com/just-how-bad-is-blake-bortles/#respond Wed, 28 Sep 2016 05:50:46 +0000 http://bigbored.com/?p=261 Continue reading "Just How Bad is Blake Bortles?"]]> I made a statement on the latest Keep Choppin’ Wood episode that Blaine Gabbert was playing better than Blake Bortles right now. The notion stemmed from a discussion Michael Lombardi and Bill Simmons recently had on the two on Simmons’ podcast.

The fact that we can even have a comparison between the two is highly disappointing. However, it’s not completely unfounded. Here’s a video from 2012 with current Jaguars Offensive Coordinator Greg Olsen. Olsen served as the Quarterback coach under the previous regime (Mike Mularkey’s sole season in Jacksonville). After the entire staff was fired, he went to Oakland and ran the offense in Derek Carr’s rookie year, then returned to Jacksonville as Jedd Fisch’s replacement on Gus Bradley’s staff. That’s a really convoluted way of saying that he’s worked directly with both Blaine Gabbert and Blake Bortles.

The video begins with Olson explaining their Out-Skinny Post concept, a Hi-Low against the Hook-to-Curl defender. The idea is to get his shoulders to turn and open with the Out, opening a window to hit the Skinny Post behind him.

post-out

This is a very basic concept that every single NFL team runs in every single NFL game. It’s versatile and can be successful against a number of different coverages, provided the Post runner keeps inside leverage on the corner and the quarterback places the ball into the window with the proper trajectory. If you watched the video, you saw Blaine complete this route combo a number of different times.

Now, here’s Blake running the exact same concept against the Ravens last week.

What should be an easy pitch-and-catch where Hurns can protect himself turns into a hospital ball. Hurns has to stop, jump in the air and contort his body which allows the safety to close and hit him in mid-air.

Not Ideal

Not ideal.

On the very next play, they run the same concept. Baltimore runs Cover-2 instead of Cover-3, but it’s the same read – just with slightly different timing and trajectory on the ball.

As you can see, the window opens and closes a lot quicker here. The ball comes out late and behind the receiver, leading to another potential hospital ball (I’m fine with the low trajectory howver, because it gives the wide receiver an opportunity to protect himself in a really congested area.)

These are two opportunities where the offense gets a good look and a man open (albeit, in tight windows) where the quarterback busts the play. They proceeded to punt. Again, this is a really basic concept that every NFL quarterback has to be able to make. Blaine Gabbert routinely made this play.

Inaccuracy doesn’t show up on the stat sheet as much more than an incomplete pass, but what’s missing from the box score is yardage that a team leaves on the field. Here’s another example:

Blake Post Cross

It’s 3rd and 8 in the first quarter with the game at 0-0, and the Jaguars call up for a Post-Deep Cross Hi-Lo of the deep safety. This Hi-Lo is another that will work against multiple coverages, man or zone, with the objectives being having the Post runner maintain inside leverage on the corner and to get the safety on that side (or in the middle of the field if it is a single-high coverage, as what ends up being the case here) to open his hips with the Deep Cross. As soon as the safeties hips open, the ball needs to be on it’s way over the top.

The ball comes out on time, but instead of leading the wide receiver into the middle of the field for an easy touchdown, he leads him back outside towards the cornerback. This is what I brought up in the podcast about the quarterback making a bad wide receiver look bad. Marqise Lee struggles adjusting to the ball in the air and making contested caches, and what should have been an easy touchdown leads to a drop and a punt because Bortles made him do exactly that.

These plays show how a quarterback struggling with timing and accuracy can completely break an offense. The scary thing is that aren’t Bortles’ worst plays – I wouldn’t even put these in his bottom five for the Ravens game. All of his turnovers this season have been downright reprehensible, and the sacks he took in crunch time against Baltimore were the worst outcomes you could possibly have on those plays. He’s struggling seeing the field clearly, cannot throw accurately, and is showing poor situational awareness. He is arguably playing like the worst quarterback in the NFL, and the rest of the season should essentially be viewed as an extended tryout.

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Keep Choppin’ Wood Episode 12: The Jaguars (Still) Suck, Blake Bortles Sucks, Fire Gus Bradley http://bigbored.com/keep-choppin-wood-episode-12-the-jaguars-still-suck-blake-bortles-sucks-fire-gus-bradley/ http://bigbored.com/keep-choppin-wood-episode-12-the-jaguars-still-suck-blake-bortles-sucks-fire-gus-bradley/#respond Wed, 28 Sep 2016 04:57:32 +0000 http://bigbored.com/?p=282 iTunes

On this week’s episode of Keep Choppin’ Wood, we talk about just how bad the game against the Baltimore Ravens was, just how bad Blake Bortles was, why Gus Bradley needs to get fired immediately after London, and more about the future of this NFL franchise.


 

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9/23/16 (First Ever) Mailbag: Mizzou, the Packers, Coaching Psychology, and Black Quarterbacks http://bigbored.com/92316-first-ever-mailbag-mizzou-coaching-psychology-and-awful-white-quarterbacks/ http://bigbored.com/92316-first-ever-mailbag-mizzou-coaching-psychology-and-awful-white-quarterbacks/#respond Fri, 23 Sep 2016 05:30:04 +0000 http://bigbored.com/?p=243 Continue reading "9/23/16 (First Ever) Mailbag: Mizzou, the Packers, Coaching Psychology, and Black Quarterbacks"]]> Welcome to the first Big Bored Mailbag! First, music.

Chris: How do I become a successful gambler when it comes to CFB and the NFL? 

You should ask a successful gambler. They don’t build casinos with gold walls because they lose money.

Connor: Why does nobody care about Mizzou? Back-to-back SEC East champs, back to back Big-12 North champs, they’ve put dudes in the league . I‘m biased, but we gotta be the most overlooked program in CFB relative to on-field and NFL success, and it bothers me more than it should so I always ask folks who aren’t from KC or StL what they see and think when Mizzou pops up.

Honestly, I think everyone reaches a point where they unconsciously black out all information on Missouri and Kansas because trying to figure out why Kansas City is in fucking Missouri and not Kansas is a traumatic childhood moment for anyone that doesn’t live in either state.

Mizzou’s run at the top of the SEC East kinda reminds me of when Georgia clamped down on the division in the early 2000s when both Florida and Tennessee were down. Nice teams during down periods, but they’re definitely in the shadow of Saban’s LSU championship team and the undefeated Auburn team of 2004. That’s the same spot Mizzou is in – they’re a good program, but the East is a little down, and they’ve been overshadowed by the SEC West.

Also, fuck Blaine Gabbert.

Adam: I just have a sort of extended question on Teddy Bridgewater. We were all part of the #TeamTeddy movement that supported him coming out of Louisville. My biggest admiration of Teddy is footwork and balance. He climbs the pocket with fluidity and throws from a solid base. However, there isn’t anything exactly flashy or fascinating about his play. Given this, and irregardless of injury, is Teddy a good NFL quarterback?

Teddy is a Rorschach test, and what people say about him says more about the evaluator analyst than Teddy’s play itself. There really isn’t a lot ton of nuance in evaluating in evaluating him – good (possibly elite?) movement and awareness in the pocket; accurate enough underneath; struggles with placement on both posts and streaks, but can hit the corner route decently enough; not particularly aggressive throwing into tight windows.

What’s interesting about Teddy is that he was drafted into an ecosystem that doesn’t particularly work well for his skillset. I guess the thing that gives me the most pause is: Norv Turner had no problem featuring Philip Rivers (who doesn’t have a cannon, but can throw vertically) in a shotgun, pass-first offense. And that started right when Ladainian Tomlinson started slowing down. So why has their offense so closesly resembled the Jay Fiedler/Ricky Williams Miami offense that Turner was in charge of? That was the most fascinating part of that entire situation. And now neither one is going to be playing any time soon.

Al: What is so wrong with the Packers offense? Obviously Jordy isn’t all the way back, but one WR shouldn’t sink the offense.

It shouldn’t, but that’s the offensive ecosystem that Green Bay has created and maintained for years. Right now, the Packers’ problem is that they don’t have a single skill position player where a defensive coordinator says: “if we don’t stop that guy, we lose.” When that happens, the defense can take away who they want, and force the system to actually work against the offense by making the team ball go to inferior players (any time Davante Adams is targeted should be seen as a win for the defense).

It’s not necessarily Aaron Rodgers’ fault as these were the exact same things everyone was saying about Tom Brady during his slump in 2013 and the beginning of 2014. Then Gronk got healthy and Brady was an MVP candidate again. Jordy is that type of important for Green Bay, and that offense will go as his knee goes.

Also, everyone forgets that when Brady doesn’t have elite talent pass catching talent around him, he’s essentially a 3800 yard/28 TD passer.

Chef B: You have the right “eye”… In any universe, this or alternate, do you see Ryan Tannehill as a playoff QB or are Dolphins wasting their time that could be invested in an actual QB and not an athlete trying to be a QB? Thanks.

I liked Tannehill more than most coming out (I actually had him above RG3), but I think it’s fair to say that he is what he is at this point. There really hasn’t been much growth in his game since he switched back to quarterback after moving from wide receiver. He’s functional, but his production is largely attributable to volume. Michael Lombardi recently said on Bill Simmons’ podcast that he’s a guy who the game speeds up for in tight situations down the stretch, and that’s when his critical mistakes come. I can’t say I’ve watched a ton of the dude in the NFL, but that’s believable to me because that’s exactly what his problem was at Texas A&M.

Luck’s Neck Beard: Trade Chuck Pagano straight across for Gus Bradley, who says no?

Goatee-for-goatee? This is the Jon Baldwin for A.J. Jenkins of coach trades.

Jason: Why won’t Jacksonville change their defensive scheme?

I think that because coach’s have such little control over the outcome of play that they try to maintain control in ways that are familiar and predictable to them. Losing in a predictable way is psychologically more comforting than losing in an unpredictable one. Remember Brett Favre talking about how many times Holmgren chewed him out for doing his own thing and changing plays to better ones?

Myfanwy365: Do you believe @AwfulWhiteQBs has a point when it comes to how black QBs are evaluated & drafted, not given a chanceDo you believe @AwfulWhiteQBs has a point when it comes to how black QBs are evaluated and drafted and not given a chance?

I honestly love this question. While no sane person should be dying on Tajh Boyd hill, I think @AwfulWhiteQBs does a good job of highlighting a lot of the discrepancies in how black quarterbacks are covered by the media, analyzed during the scouting process, and the patience given to them by teams when they do get an opportunity.

I still can’t help but think of how weirdly Blaine Gabbert and Cam Newton were contrasted during the pre-draft process. The negatives that were discussed for Cam (spread offensive system, short track record of production were simply glossed over for Gabbert – and Gabbert had downright poor production in a very mediocre conference. There was the weird, dog-whistley Nolan Nawrocki draft profile.

The funny thing is that black quarterbacks are numerous in lower levels – where the outcome of the game can mostly be decided by putting the ball in your best athlete’s hands on every single play. The traditional NFL offense is very difficult to play for black and white quarterbacks alike.There are like five good quarterbacks at any given time in the NFL, and that’s a 32 team league. What the hell else are 100+ major-division college football teams supposed to do other than adapt to the talent at hand? While NFL teams are borrowing some concepts from lower levels, everything in the NFL is mostly a remix of what Paul Brown and Sid Gillman were doing back in the 60s. When people say “he’ll have struggling adapting as a running (code: black) quarterback, I always say: the number of bad, slow, pocket-passing quarterbacks vastly outnumbers any other type.

And I don’t think it’s that teams are necessarily consciously racist, but there are a lot of inherent biases that do exist. Like I said in amy nswer to the last question – coaches have little control outside of their systems and like to win and lose in predictable, familiar ways. I don’t know why losing with Christian Hackenberg is supposed to be any better or more preferable than losing with Geno Smith, but here we are.

Also, fuck Blaine Gabbert (again), I’m actually pissed he’s come up twice in the debut mailbag.

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